A minority of it on most commercial questions, even though official sources are the largest single category overall. The 34–46% official share is spread across every brand in the answer, competitors included, and the rest is news, vertical publications and discussion threads you do not control. A 4,706-query academic audit of Google AI Overviews, collected September 2025 in the US and Germany, found 53% of the domains it consults were absent from the organic top 10 and 27% from the top 100.5 A 55,393-query preprint collected between 13 March and 21 April 2026 measured the comparable first-page gap at 29.8%, so the defensible statement is a range of roughly 30% to 53% with both collection windows named, not a point from either study.8 An 11,500-query SIGIR 2026 study makes the point from another angle: for one query, the sources returned by Google organic search, AI Overviews and Gemini overlap at under 0.2 average Jaccard similarity.10 Kirsten counts domains consulted, not domains cited.
Two consequences follow. The first is that the pages worth writing are the ones that can be selected on their own merits: documentation that answers a real sub-question, a pricing page that states prices in text, a comparison page honest enough to be quotable. Google is blunt about what qualifies a page at all: it must be indexed and eligible to be shown in Search with a snippet, and there is no special structured data to add.6 Its optimization guide adds that these features are “rooted in our core Search ranking and quality systems”.9
The second is that being fetchable is a precondition, not a detail. A 2026 preprint, reported via the critical survey, found 27.1% of URLs already cited in AI answers could not be scraped, being inaccessible, removed or non-textual, and roughly 16% of the 19,154 pages retrieved were labelled AI-generated by its detector.7 A page behind a login, an interstitial or a bot-blocking gate is out of the running however well it is written, the subject of Technical GEO.
Where a product fits, and where it does not
The whole method is readable from the papers below, and the practical version is a spreadsheet: run your prompts, copy out the cited URLs, tag each one official, news, vertical or discussion, and count. Bavior does that collection step across five engines on a schedule, so the source mix for your own questions is visible rather than inferred from someone else's 602 prompts. It does not measure influence per page, which needs the answer and the source aligned, and it makes no claim about getting your pages into that list. The free AI visibility check and free GEO audit run without a paid plan; paid tracking starts from $99/mo billed monthly, or $79.17/mo billed annually (as of 30 Aug 2026).