Not from referral traffic, and settling that before the budget rather than after saves a quarter. Pew Research Center’s browsing study of 900 US adults, covering 68,879 Google searches with data collected in March 2025, found users who met an AI summary clicked a traditional result on 8% of visits against 15% for those who did not, and clicked a link inside the summary itself in just 1% of all visits to a page carrying one.3 A surface with a click rate that thin cannot be justified by its clicks.
Nor can the step from citation to money be assumed, because nobody has established it. The 2026 critical survey grades the claim that citation scores predict clicks, conversions or revenue at very low confidence, the lowest rating in its table.1 Anyone quoting a return on GEO spend is quoting something the field says out loud it cannot support, which is a reason to fund the work as a measured experiment rather than a forecast.
The content line deserves the most scepticism, because it is the one most often sold. C-SEO Bench, a NeurIPS 2025 benchmark covering ten methods, more than 1.9k queries and 16k documents, found only three of 54 cases where the ranking improvements were statistically significant.5 SAGEO Arena, published at KDD 2026 over 171,003 documents and 2,700 queries, tested ten strategies and found its body-text-only group below the untouched baseline on all three reported measures: 0.53 against 0.58, 0.84 against 1.00, and 0.47 against 0.50.6
A team that prices its first quarter as a content project, buys ten page rewrites and skips the panel ends it unable to say whether anything happened, the most expensive outcome at any budget. The order that survives a finance review runs the other way: panel first, because it is the only line that produces evidence; technical fixes second, because they are a sprint with a finish line; content and off-site third, sized to what the panel says is moving. A defensible report covers what to publish afterwards, including the month when nothing moved.
The honest limit of this article
No independent cost benchmark for a GEO programme exists. Nobody has surveyed what teams spend, no peer-reviewed work prices the labour, and a vendor price list prices a product rather than a programme, so you get multipliers here instead of a range. That is the state of the evidence, not modesty. Two figures on this page are ours alone: fifteen seconds per manual collection, and about a day per high-intent page rewrite. Neither has been replicated, and both should be replaced by your own timings in the first month. What holds whatever your labour rate turns out to be is the arithmetic: the Wilson interval, the quadratic precision requirement, and the multiplier structure.
Where a product fits, and where it does not
Everything above runs on a spreadsheet and a timer, and for a single-engine panel doing it by hand for the first month is how you learn what a collection costs in your team. Bavior automates the recurring line and nothing else: it runs a fixed prompt set across five engines on a schedule and records presence and the cited URLs per run with the system fields attached, and where a cited source is a live discussion thread it drafts a reply on an account you control, which you approve before anything posts. It does not do the technical fix work, does not write the content line, does not price your labour, and cannot tell you what a citation is worth, because no published research can yet. The free AI visibility check and the free GEO audit run without a paid plan; paid plans start at $99/mo billed monthly, or $79.17/mo billed annually at $950 a year (as of 30 Aug 2026).